DStv Prem Betting Guide: 15 September Weekend

The PSL makes a return this weekend, with top-flight fixtures scattered from Friday to Sunday. With a few clubs involved in CAF competition, only four league matches are scheduled, but enough for us to dig through the numbers and bring some much-needed context for punters. Swallows welcome Richards Bay on Friday, Arrows and Chiefs host Stellenbosch and Royal AM respectively on Saturday, while AmaZulu are home to Cape Town City on Sunday.

Swallows v Richards Bay

Richards Bay are in the middle of a worrying slump at the moment. They have played 21 league games since the start of the year, and have won one, drawing five and losing the other 15. It’s a run of form so bad, that it has entered the Top5 longest winless runs in PSL history. Their hosts meanwhile have been in impressive form lately, winning back-to-back games and climbing up to 6th on the table. It’s hard to see how Richards Bay will end that winless streak, especially when you consider their form away from home.

1 – Richards Bay have failed to score in seven of their last eight away league games, with one goal in 720 minutes since the start of February.

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Golden Arrows v Stellenbosch

The equivalent match in 2022/23 produced Over 6.5 goals in one of the games of the season as Stellies won 5-2. That goal-fest is unlikely to recur, but if you believe lightning can strike twice, a punt on Over 6.5 goals gets you a 30-fold return this weekend. Arrows seem like they are back to their entertaining ways in terms of goals on either end – at least that was the case before the coaching changes. They are the second-top scorers but also have the third-highest goals conceded. Only Royal AM (14.6) have conceded more shots than Arrows (14.3 per game). Yet, Arrows are the more in-form side between the two, but it’s worth noting they have only ever beaten Stellies once in the top flight (P8 W1 D4 L3). At 3.4/1 for the win and 1.8 for the double chance, the men from the Winelands could make many happy.

2.5 – All five games this season involving Arrows have seen at least two goals, with Over 3,5 (twice) and Over 4.5 (once) occurring.

Kaizer Chiefs v Royal AM

The two teams are level on wins, draws, and points but Chiefs are seen as the favourites here. Interestingly, their five results have followed a similar pattern this season – Drew, Lost, Lost, Won, Won. A draw would be next in the sequence if you’re that strongly into patterns. Yet, Chiefs have been more impressive in their wins, scoring five and conceding none. Hopefully, the international break did not break the momentum. Only Spurs (10) have conceded more goals than Royal AM (9) so far in the campaign. Unfortunately for Thwihli Thwahla, they also boast a blunt attack, encapsulated in this one stat:

6 – Royal AM averages six shots per game this season, the lowest of all teams in the division.

You can bet on a Chiefs win

You can bet on Over 2.5 goals

AmaZulu v Cape Town City

Something is off at Cape Town City, who had lost four in a row in all comps ahead of the international break. Indeed, something is off for the Cape sides as a whole – the three Cape-based sides have lost 9 of their last 10 league games combined, including each of the last seven by an aggregate score of 15-3. Tinkler would have welcomed the international recess more than Pablo Franco Martin, who got his first win just before the break. Interestingly, both teams are priced at 2.6/1 for the win, but the thing is, City do not like this fixture.

6 – AmaZulu have won more games v Cape Town City than any other side since their 2017 promotion.