Soccer Value and Exotic Bets – Singles, Trebles, BTTS and Goalscorer

Value and exotic punter Brenton Chelin combed through Europe’s leagues looking for the best value and opportunities for betting just for you. He covers Bundesliga, Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and more.

The Rundown

Goalscorers

• Florian Wirtz | 4.00 AGS | 8.50 FGS | Going to be on big teams radars | 4 in his last 4 including the winner last time out | Bundesliga Record
• Lorenzo Insigne | 2.80 AGS | 6.00 FGS | 9 in 18 v Fiorentina | Also on set piece duty | 2 pens
• Mattia Destro | 3.00 AGS | 5.50 FGS |  Genoa away to newly promoted Salernitana | 4 in 4 this season | One of the best conversion rates across the top 5 leagues | Scored a goal with a water bottle
  
• Karim Benzema is in top nick | Tops La Liga for goals and assists | 
• Wilf Zaha (6 in 12 v Leicester)
• Robert Lewandowski (15 in 16 v Eintracht Frankfurt)
• Domenico Berardi (6 in 12 for Sassuolo v Inter)
• Angel Di Maria (8 goals and 7 assists in 14 matches v Rennes)

Value Bets

Villa away at Spurs @ 3.35

• Spurs have worst shot ratio in the league | Averaging 7 more shots conceded that taken per game
• Villa were good value for their win at Old Trafford
• Seem to be getting stronger | Spurs going backwards
• Villa also won this fixture last season at odds of 42/10

Lorient v Clermont | Home win @ 2.35

• Lorient have 100% home record so far this season
• Clermont have conceded 13 goals in 4 away matches
• Generally quite low scoring
• Performance factor (Actual GD v xGD) | Clermont near the bottom | Lorient in top 10

St Johnstone v Dundee | Two possible bets | St Johnstone to win to nil @ 2.95 OR St Johnstone & Under 2.5 @ 3.60

• St Johnstone have won the last 6 H2Hs | All 6 have been to-nil
• Dundee bottom of table without a win | Scored just 4 goals this season

Wolves v Newcastle | 1-1 Correct score @ 7.75

• 4 x 1-1 draws in a row
• Newcastle have drawn their last two matches 1-1

Best Bets

Arouca v Sporting | Away win @ 1.46

• Sporting have won the last 10 meetings, scoring 24 goals and conceding just 5
• 3rd plays 15th
• Nice one to throw in your multiples

Burnley v Norwich | Home win @ 1.86

• Relegation 6 pointerNorwich still pointless | Worst xGD in Europe’s Top 5 Leagues
• Canaries won just one of last 18 visits to Turf Moor & conceded 2+ in each of their last 8
• Burnley at 1.85 is a solid bet
• Chris Wood AGS (3 in 3 v Norwich) Scored at the weekend

Copenhagen v Viborg | Home win @ 1.52

• 2nd plays 10th in the Danish Superliga
• Lost to Midtjylland in a strange game where they played 70 mins with a man advantage
• Won 8/9 home games v Viborg 

Treble comes in @ 4.17

• Throw Villa in and get 13/1

BTTS & Match Winner – 1167/1 (R64k / R50)

• Nice & BTTS v Brest
• Basel & BTTS v Luzern
• Sturm Graz & BTTS v Hartberg
• West Ham & BTTS v Brentford
• PSG & BTTS v Rennes
• Leeds & BTTS v Watford