{"id":65979,"date":"2022-09-29T09:14:44","date_gmt":"2022-09-29T07:14:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/betcentral.onpressidium.com\/?p=65979"},"modified":"2022-09-29T13:17:16","modified_gmt":"2022-09-29T11:17:16","slug":"ufc-fight-night-betting-predictions-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/machibet777-app.com\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-betting-predictions-3\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Dern v Yan Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Leading strawweight contenders seek to take one step closer to a title shot when Mackenzie Dern squares off against Yan Xiaonan in the main event of UFC Vegas 61 on Saturday night (Sunday morning SA time), writes Quintin van Jaarsveld. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Welterweights fill the co-headliner slot at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas as Randy Brown battles evergreen Francisco Trinaldo while Raoni Barcelos and Trevin Jones, bantamweights looking to get back on track, scrap in the featured bout. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nigerian-born Sodiq Yusuff, who\u2019s fought his way into the top 15 of the featherweight division, faces dangerous debutant Don Shainis, John Castaneda collides with Daniel Santos in a catchweight bout and Mike Davis and Viacheslav Borshchev open the show in a lightweight banger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bet Now: UFC Fight Night<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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MAIN CARD (from 1 AM Sunday SA time): <\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Mackenzie Dern (1.43) v Yan Xiaonan (2.95) (Strawweight)<\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The five-round headliner is a title eliminator of sorts with Dern (12-2) ranked fifth and Xiaonan sixth. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dern is both a throwback to the early days of the UFC and an anomaly. In the modern era of mixed martial arts, where fighters are versed in all aspects of the sport, Dern is an out-and-out submission specialist, one unlike any women\u2019s MMA has ever seen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A former Brazilian jiu-jitsu world champion, she\u2019s the most gifted women\u2019s submission artist to ever grace the Octagon, making her a unique threat and a special attraction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A human Venus flytrap, she has several ways to cut down the cage, grab hold of an opponent and get them to the ground. There, her unrivalled transitions mean it\u2019s just a matter of time before she isolates a limb and forces her foe to tap out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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It happens more often than not, with four of her seven wins inside the Octagon and seven of her 12 career victories coming via submission. The rest are by decision, including her latest win over Tecia Torres, which saw her bounce back from a five-round decision loss to Marina Rodriguez. Prior to that setback, she\u2019d won four straight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The split decision win over Torres in April was ideal preparation for this match-up as Torres and Xiaonan are both fast and energetic volume strikers. This is reflected in the stats with Xiaonan landing 5.66 significant strikes per minute. The average is around four with Dern, being a grappler, landing 3.16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A dive into Xiaonan\u2019s 15-3 record will show she has seven knockouts, but all of those were before she became the first Chinese female fighter to make it to the UFC in 2017. Since then, she\u2019s exclusively won by decision whenever things have gone her way.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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She\u2019s in a rough patch at the moment, suffering a turnaround that saw her go from a five-fight win streak to dropping back-to-back losses to current champion Carla Esparza and, most recently, Rodriguez in March. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Had it not been for the fact that the other top contenders had already been booked to face each other, the struggling Xiaonan wouldn\u2019t have received a top five opponent or a maiden main event and she\u2019ll do everything in her power to maximise the opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, being a volume striker with an identical 63-inch reach to Dern is a double-edged sword in this case. By constantly moving forward and throwing plenty of strikes, Xiaonan puts herself in grappling range and Dern\u2019s shown she only needs one takedown to initiate the finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Therefore, I\u2019m backing the Brazilian to wrap up another submission win.    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction:<\/strong> Dern via submission. <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet:<\/strong> Dern by submission at 1.90<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alternative Bet:<\/strong> Dern at 1.43.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bet Now: UFC Fight Night<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Randy Brown (1.31) v Francisco Trinaldo (3.65) (Welterweight)<\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Fighting is a young athlete\u2019s sport but it seems no one has told Trinaldo (28-8) this. At the tender age of 44, he\u2019s won two fights in a row and five of his last six. The veteran is well-rounded but it\u2019s his craftiness more than anything that\u2019s fuelled his impressive run. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Jaywick STAND UP! Englands own Trinaldo is fighting this weekend at #UFCVegas61<\/a> in the PEOPLES MAIN EVENT! @danawhite<\/a> you still have time to bump this into the main event slot mate. pic.twitter.com\/JbeyAdfLNz<\/a><\/p>— \u00dc\u1e48\u010c\u0141\u00ca\ud83c\uddf3\ud83c\uddff\ud83c\udf7b\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddea (@HookerStinky) September 25, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote>